Thought Figures
Minimalist illustrations of intellectual concepts, cognitive laws and biases.
All
Biases & Heuristics
Economics & Incentives
Engineering & Technology
Epistemology
Management & Organisations
Psychology & Behaviour
Anchoring Bias
The first number heard distorts all those that follow.
Biases & Heuristics
Loss Aversion
Losing £100 hurts more than gaining £100 feels good.
Biases & Heuristics
Confirmation Bias
We seek what confirms. We ignore what contradicts.
Biases & Heuristics
Availability Bias
We judge as probable what comes easily to mind.
Biases & Heuristics
Hindsight Bias
"I knew it all along."
Biases & Heuristics
Survivorship Bias
We learn from survivors, not from those who disappeared.
Biases & Heuristics
The Map Is Not the Territory
Our models of the world are not the world.
Epistemology
Chesterton's Fence
Don't remove what you don't yet understand.
Epistemology
The Framing Effect
The same data produces opposite decisions depending on how it is presented.
Biases & Heuristics
Cobra Effect
An incentive designed to solve a problem ends up making it worse.
Economics & Incentives
Dunning-Kruger Effect
The less you know, the more confident you feel.
Psychology & Behaviour
Halo Effect
One positive trait colors the entire perception of a person.
Biases & Heuristics
The Lindy Effect
The longer something has survived, the longer it will likely survive.
Epistemology
Placebo Effect
Belief heals as much as the remedy.
Psychology & Behaviour
Spotlight Effect
We overestimate the attention others pay to us.
Psychology & Behaviour
Pygmalion Effect
Expectation creates reality.
Psychology & Behaviour
Ringelmann Effect
The larger the group, the less each member contributes.
Psychology & Behaviour
Overton Window
Only ideas within the window are politically viable, and the window moves.
Economics & Incentives
Ikigai
Your reason for being at the intersection of four dimensions.
Epistemology
Brandolini's Law
Debunking nonsense takes ten times more energy than producing it.
Epistemology
Brooks's Law
Adding developers to a late project makes it later.
Engineering & Technology
Carlson's Law
Continuous work is always more effective than interrupted work.
Management & Organisations
Conway's Law
Systems reflect the communication structure of the organisations that build them.
Engineering & Technology
Gall's Law
Every working complex system evolved from a simple system that worked.
Engineering & Technology
Goodhart's Law
When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
Economics & Incentives
Hick's Law
The more choices, the longer the decision takes.
Psychology & Behaviour
Hofstadter's Law
It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.
Management & Organisations
Hyrum's Law
With enough users, all observable behavior becomes a dependency.
Engineering & Technology
Kerr's Law
We reward A, we hope for B, and we get A.
Economics & Incentives
Metcalfe's Law
The value of a network grows as the square of its number of users.
Engineering & Technology
Miller's Law
Working memory can only hold 7 ± 2 items at once.
Psychology & Behaviour
Pareto's Law
20% of causes produce 80% of effects.
Economics & Incentives
Parkinson's Law
Work expands to fill the time available for its completion.
Management & Organisations
Tesler's Law
Complexity is incompressible: it shifts, it doesn't disappear.
Engineering & Technology
Learning Culture Lotus
Learn continuously, at every level.
Management & Organisations
Maslow's Hammer
If your only tool is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
Biases & Heuristics
Dunbar's Number
We can only maintain ~150 stable relationships.
Management & Organisations
Abilene Paradox
A group can collectively decide what nobody individually wants.
Management & Organisations
Jevons Paradox
Efficiency increases consumption.
Economics & Incentives
Hanlon's Razor
Never attribute to malice what can be explained by incompetence.
Epistemology
Peter Principle
In a hierarchy, everyone rises to their level of incompetence.
Management & Organisations
Postel's Law
Be liberal in what you accept, conservative in what you send.
Engineering & Technology
The Shirky Principle
Institutions will try to preserve the problem to which they are the solution.
Management & Organisations
Occam's Razor
Between two equivalent explanations, choose the simpler one.
Epistemology